Friday, February 20, 2009

CAMB Call To Action About Appraisal Issue

FIGHT FOR YOUR BUSINESS!

Help save the Independent Appraiser



On December 23, 2008, the New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, GSEs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and their regulator the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released a revised Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC), part of their Appraisal Agreement first issued on March 3, 2008. The HVCC would take effect May 1, 2009.



Should the HVCC take effect, lenders will no longer accept any appraisal report completed by an appraiser selected, retained, or compensated in any manner by any third party including mortgage brokers. To view the revised HVCC and Appraisal Agreement, please click here.



This Agreement will shift mortgage business primarily, if not exclusively, to banks, harming consumers by severely limiting competition. Increased appraisal costs will be charged, even though staff appraisers will be paid less. Consumers will see borrowing options curtailed because they receive appraisals that are lower in quality and a less accurate valuation of their housing.



The HVCC severely threatens small businesses and your profession nationwide by preventing mortgage brokers from participating in the independent appraiser process. It is critical for mortgage brokers to maintain an appropriate level of contact with appraisers to ensure appraisal quality and independence. We need to join forces to fight for the consumers and small businesses across America.



The time is NOW to fight this threat. CAMB urges you to support the effort being waged by CAMB and our national representative, the National Association of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB), in three ways:



· Please make a donation towards this fight to ensure your industry’s survival. With your support, NAMB will be taking legal and legislative action. https://www.namb.org/Forms.asp?MODE=NEW&Forms_FormTypeID=-24



· Contact your Congressional Representative, U.S. Senator, and the White House in opposition to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s charging of unnecessary and excessive fees. http://capwiz.com/namb/issues/alert/?alertid=12578401



Some appraisers are not sure how to get involved in this issue! Call your appraiser when you get this!!!! Share this e-mail with every appraiser you know – the HVCC severely threatens the existence of independent appraisers and small appraisal businesses. Let’s join forces today and keep the HVCC from permanently harming the independent appraisal process.


If you would like more information about this issue or about CAMB government affairs efforts, please contact the CAMB Government Affairs team at (916) 448-8236 or at governmentaffairs@cambweb.org.

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

MACPLAN - Foreclosure Crisis Analysis

MORTGAGE and ECONOMIC UPDATES

There are several updates and issues to bring to your attention. As things transpire I may not have time to e-mail pertinent updates to you so I have set up a blog at macplan.blogspot.com where you can go for the information. I will try to e-mail you when there is a new update on the blog. Here is what is happening now and what I am working on:

1) Late last week the largest mortgage insurance company, The PMI Group, instituted a policy that they would no longer insure mortgages that were originated by brokers. By implementing this policy the Mortgage Insurance companies will speed up the consolidation and nationalization of the banks, hasten the downfall of most if not all non-bank lenders that utilize brokers as their main source of business, and force the small mortgage broker to consolidate under a larger bank environment. This policy will also put most appraisers out of business.
The public, once again, is getting the shaft. By not allowing brokers to originate loans with less than 20% down on a purchase or less than 20% equity in the property for a refinance borrowers will have to go to the few remaining banks the exist who will be able to charge what the want because they won’t have competition from the brokers. A client that is over 80% Loan –To- Value that goes to a broker will be limited to an FHA product….which is insured by the government ad has not one but 2 types of mortgage insurance which in many cases makes it more expensive for the borrower than it would under a conventional loans with mortgage insurance. Again, customers wanting high LTV loans will need to go to banks, put up with higher rates, longer lines and bad service.
Yesterday I spoke to the upper management at the PMI Group to get their side of the story as to why they are implementing this policy. They told me, unlike published reports, that it was not due to quality of the loan originations submitted by brokers. Their take was that they do not have the capital necessary to reserve for future losses. They say that their low stock prices make it harder to attract new capital. They say that this a strictly a company survival mode tactic to make sure they don’t take on any more risk until the delinquency issues on the current loans in the market place have run their course. They say if they were able to raise more capital then the policy could change back.
I made clear to them what the ramifications of their policy implementation will do to the average borrower. I made clear that it will cause a domino effect with closing of the remaining non-bank lenders, brokers, appraisers and everybody else in the industry leading to a lot more unemployment while giving borrowers less loan options and higher rates.
The bottom line, there are ways to fight this which I will go into later.

2) Obama’s Foreclosure Rescue Plan - I am currently reviewing this. It seems like a lot of the same old stuff and need a lot of questions to be answered:
a) How are they going to implement the refinancing through FNMA and Freddie Mac for upside down borrowers? Where does mortgage insurance come in….are they going to do it without mortgage insurance. If mortgage insurance is required then San Diego is screwed again…because all mortgage insurance companies have designated us as a Declining Market. How is FNMA and Freddie going to get around that. Also, I understand that they will only allow up to 105% LTV….how is that going to help people that are upside down by 20-50%?
B) The incentives given to servicers…are they going to be enough. The modification plan is still voluntary for the servicers.
C) Throwing $400 billion more into FNMA and Freddie Mac to continue to buy mortgage backed securities that nobody else is buying and nobody can put a value on…is the govt over paying….and what are they paying for those securities. It is almost as if the government thinks that the securitization crisis has been solved. The buying up of the securities may have the effect of temporarily lowering rates but will those rates still be offset by the price and cost adjustments currently being added on by FNMA and Freddie.
And when will the money that is printed to fund the buying of the securities get circulated….the printing of the money will no doubt cause inflation which will increase rates significantly.
D) Currently in this plan there is absolutely no relief for people that have Jumbo Loan for more than the GSE Loan limit of $546250. Are we just going to let that deck of cards fall. One Jumbo default equals 3 or 4 condos…nobody has the guts to take this problem on.
E) There is still no relief for people that own rentals. The Popular thing to say is that we don’t want to bailout speculators an investors. But what about they guy who has owned a rental for 20 years and did some refinancing to better his cash flow…but now his value is down, his payment is up, and it doesn’t cash-flow. He is not a speculator. He is one guy that owns a property that is rented out. He did not buy it recently and try to flip it. Most likely, he isn’t rich either. People like that need relief, as much as it is politically incorrect to say such things.

3) The effect of the Stimulus Plan on mortgages - I am still digesting the 1100 or so pages. However, we do know that the loan limit for San Diego will go back up to $697,500. Once again, the key for this is how the loan limit is implemented and we are getting conflicting messages from the bond traders and the GSE’s. We do no that now there will a $8000 tax credit that does not need to be paid back for homebuyers that buy by the end of November. We do know that 2 Billion Dollars is going to be spent on local foreclosure prevention methods

4) The Mortgage Crisis is an Urgent event that could eventually and pretty quickly cost Americans our Sovereignty. The fact that very little is being done correctly to break up the bank oligarchy, correct our financial problems, and produce solutions that will stabilize our economy is absurd.


THE MACPLAN – An Action Plan For the Financial Crisis

1) Currently, I am assembling plans and ideas from many various sourcesfrom bond traders to securitizers to asset managers to Realtors to come up with an overall, well thought out comprehensive mortgage crisis and foreclosure prevention plan. Most plans are there come from one view or the other….they are not comprehensive and don’t attack all areas. If you have any ideas please e-mail them to me. Once these ideas are collected, I will setup meetings where everybody can show up, voice their opinions, and add ideas to for speak against the plan. Unlike Congress, you will have ample time to read the initial plan before you go to the meeting.
DEADLINE TO SUBMIT IDEAS AND PLANS: Sunday February 22nd
SELF IMPOSED DEADLINE FOR PUBLISHING INITIAL PLAN: March 1st
1st MEETING :tentatively March 1st at a place TBD

2) The final plan will be put together based on the response of the meetings

3) Once this plan is completed, then we will get it to our elected officials via e-mail, fax and regular. We will also post not only on my blog but several others.

4) We will start not only an online petition but a handwritten petition to implement this that will be delivered to our officials

5) SAN DIEGO ECONOMIC AND MORTGAGE REVOLT DAY – APRIL 1st

This is where all of the mortgage and real estate professionals, our families, and our customers take to the streets to promote the plan that we come up with….yes picket the banks, picket intersections, rally at the park, etc.

We will need a committee to put this on and I will be looking from leaders and non-leaders in all parts of the county to step up.

Be looking for the MACPLAN to take form….we will eventually change the name but it’s good for now.

Monday, February 9, 2009

Mortgage Industry Updates

I was on California Association of Mortgage Brokers State Board of Directors conference call last week and here are some things that you need to know:

STIMULUS PACKAGE

There is a provision in the House version of the proposed stimulus package to bring the loan limits back up to the temporary limits of $729,750 ($697500 in San Diego) and this provision would make higher loan limits permanent. As part of a compromise with the Senate expect the loan limits to be made permanent at $625,500.

IMPLEMENTATION of HIGH BALANCE CONFORMING LOANS (over 417K)

Most lenders have significant rate or fee increases for loans over $417K up to the current loan limits, $546,250. One of the reasons for this is that lenders are limited to have only 10% of the loans that they fund that could be over $417K. This limitation is put on the GSE’s by the bond traders. Also, the Fed has been buying less 4.00% notes than 5-5.50 notes which are keeping overall rates higher.

CAMB will be going to Washington in February to drive home that better implementation of high loan limits is a must along with ways to lower loan costs which would benefit our customers. Dealing with how bonds and securities are sold and the rules that the traders set is a big issue that many seem to be overlooking and we will attack that issue.

REAL ESTATE LICENSEES BE PREPARED TO SHOW FINANCIAL RESPONSIBILITY, if you plan on doing loans:

As part of HR 3221 that passed in July there is a clause in that bill that every loan agent must show financial responsibility and mandates that credit reports are run for all licensees. There have been reports that in some states current licensees have not been able to renew their licenses because they have had a foreclosure or bankruptcy in the past 2 years. A couple of states have declined to renew their licenses.

If you plan on staying in any part of the business try whatever you can do to stay out of foreclosure and/or bankruptcy. If you are behind on bills, try to settle the accounts. Do a short sale instead of foreclosure but speak to a RE attorney before doing anything.

In California CAMB is working on guidelines with Jeff Davi the DRE Commissioner who will have the ultimate call as to whether or not somebody gets a license. I will let you know how that goes.


LOAN MODIFICATION UPDATE

Currently, there is a task force made of HUD, DOC, DRE and other departments reviewing loan modification practices. There are currently over 1500 cases by the Bar Association aggressively pursuing attorney’s that are doing loan modifications.

SD 94 is a bill in the State Legislature that deals with loan modifications. It will outlaw Advance Fees for ALL loan modifications and require the person that does a loan modification to have a DRE License. DOC brokers will not be able to do Modifications. At this stage of the bill even attorneys that do modifications may be required to have a DRE Brokers license with certain exclusions.

CAMB NAME CHANGE POSSIBLE

The California Association of Mortgage Brokers Board of Directors, as part of the industry consolidation, may vote to change our name and include other areas of the industry. If you are an appraiser, escrow, title, credit company, or any other part of the industry be looking for more information as to how you can help with the consolidation. We all have to band together.

STATE OF THE MORTGAGE INDUSTRY IN 2009

Within the next 4-6 months you will be looking at a major shift as to how loans will be disbursed. Per our conversation today, many of the mortgage bankers that are still around have not been selling directly to FNMA because it is too expensive. FNMA prices in the service release premiums which makes it more expensive to sell to them. Mortgage bankers have been able to get better pricing from the larger banks who don’t price in the SRP. As larger banks fail, these mortgage bankers have less places to sell their loans. FNMA is one of their last options.

In another e-mail I will breakdown for you what we expect to happen, but the realization is that the small mortgage broker will have to be working under, be a net branch of, or have at least have a relationship with a correspondent lender.

Again, under a different e-mail I will show you how I think things are going to play out….from FNMA and Freddie Macs revised structures (which aren’t revised yet), to who is going to being providing warehouse lines to who is going to be the main origination channels. We should know more within a couple of weeks after the dust settles from next weeks Treasury Department announcements.

Letter to Congress Regarding FNMA Fees

FHFA Director James Lockhart
House Financial Service Committee Members
Senate Banking Committee Members
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson
San Diego Area House of Representative Members
California Senators Hon. Dianne Feinstein and Hon. Barbara Boxer

Re: The Mortgage Crisis, FNMA Pricing Adjustments Offsetting Treasury MBS Purchases

Dear Director Lockhart and All Elected Officials:

Last week a couple of events happened that tell me government agencies at the highest levels are not working together in a positive way that could help solve the mortgage crisis and bring America economic stability.

In the beginning of the week the Treasury Department started buying Mortgage Backed Securities which was supposed to help drive down mortgage interest rates.
By the end of the week FNMA, with the approval of the FHFA, announced loan pricing adjustments and tighter guidelines even for customers with excellent credit scores.

In effect, FNMA’s price adjustments that were signed off by FHFA cancelled out any possible decrease in rates that the Treasury was trying to accomplish by buying the Mortgage Backed Securities.

The tightening guidelines and higher prices for loans will be devastating to many Americans trying to refinance their existing homes or buying new ones. In San Diego, the only way that one can access the best rates now is if the customer has 60% LTV or less and a credit score over 740 on a rate and term refinance or purchase money transaction.

With the depressed economy in California, how many people will have both a 60% Loan to Value and a credit score over 740? The answer is not many. The fact that now we are throwing TARP money into a Treasury Program that buys Mortgage Backed Securities while at the same time the GSE’s are increasing their prices tells me several things and leads to several conclusions:

1) The man on the street is not getting any benefit from TARP money that was previously given to the initial banks that received those funds. The banks have been hoarding those funds, and per many reports those banks went out and bought more banks instead of using those funds to help their balance sheets or pass on lower rates to consumers.

2) Any funds that are being used to purchase Mortgage Backed Securities are basically a waste of money because the loan cost increases added on by the FHFA and the GSE’s offset whatever rate decreases the Treasury was supposedly hoping for.

3) Due to the policies instigated by the GSE’s and signed off by FHFA the American public, even those with good credit are not going to be getting access to low rates that they will be able to take advantage of anytime soon and this will help to continue the downward spiral of the housing market

4) As a 22 year veteran of the mortgage and real estate industries, a person who has funded around $200 Million in originations in my career, and a leader of those industries looked upon as an expert in the San Diego area by some of the local media I can tell you that after the events of last week any confidence level that I had in the federal governments handling of the mortgage and economic has been severely eroded to almost nothing. It is time for people to put their cash under the carpet.

I have spoken to many people in the industry in the past couple of days, including those with HUD and FNMA who wish to remain anonymous. Based on those conversations I have put together a list of action items that are common sense, workable and that would help the average American, the man on the street, get through the economic crisis.

1) PERMANENTLY INCREASE CONFORMING LOAN LIMITS to a minimum of $730,000 in every State - Per my conversations with an employee at FNMA, most states won’t even use this limit, but one loan limit across the board would be easier to administer in dealing with everything from rate sheets to security sales. Having different loan limits in different counties nationwide is making things more difficult and one consistent loan limit would streamline the operation and make it more cost effective.
One of the next waves of foreclosures is going to be people that took out Jumbo loans that can’t refinance into the conforming because their loans are too high and the underwriting guidelines have become even stricter for the higher loan amounts due to the collapse of securitization model. Raising conforming loan amounts will keep some of those loans from going into foreclosure as long as the underwriting guidelines are not tightened up too much like they were when FNMA implemented the temporary loan limit increases with the 2008 Stimulus Package. If you thought that the first wave of foreclosures was bad, wait until the McMansion wave hits when the Jumbo loans start foreclosing. Remember, a Jumbo loan that goes into foreclosure in San Diego effects people all over the country. The Congress, HUD, and the White House should realize this and not fight higher loan limits.






2) Critically look at how the GSE’s are doing business - FHFA, FNMA and Freddie Mac continue to tighten up guidelines such as increasing credit scores and decreasing Loan to Value ratios. They say they do this to help protect them against future losses and to help them deal with current losses. However, in reality, these policies actually Ensure future losses and add to the downward spiral of not only the housing market but also the economy. Many borrowers who at one time could have been put into a better long term position have not and will not be able to take advantage of the low rates and many first time homebuyers will not be able to secure financing based on the new guidelines.
The GSE’s have increased their price adjustments, meaning higher rates for the customers, under the premise that they need to make more of a spread on each closed loan to help out their bottom line. However, even before the latest price adjustments last week, the GSE’s and lenders had already been making historically high spreads on each individual transaction.
Finally, I have spoken to many mid-size lenders and have also read that FNMA has or will be requesting 1 Billion Dollars in loan buybacks from small and mid-size mortgage companies. They are doing this in many cases without letting the mortgage companies try to mitigate the losses themselves. If FNMA goes overboard with these unnecessary and unfair buyback requests you will see even more mortgage companies and banks go under, thus increasing unemployment and decreasing loan and lender options for consumers.

3) CONSIDER REAL FHA REFORM – This means increase FHA limits to $730,000, or more to offset the lack of securitization or investors for the Jumbo Market It means making underwriting guidelines the same for loans over $417K as they are for loans under $417K. Open FHA up to more lenders and brokers by allowing Brokers to utilize surety bonds. Although HUD is against it because they consider the net worth worth requirement a Cost of Doing business with the government, with the economic crash it is going to be harder than ever for some brokers to meet the net worth requirement. This will ultimately put the FHA Loan origination in the hands of only a few lenders who could name their price which should increase rates for consumers. When only a few lenders start offering FHA loans this means that a lot of areas in the US will be underserved, especially Americans that live in rural areas where there may not be any banks left after all of the consolidations happen.

4)Mortgage Insurance Companies Need to be Regulated- This is an area where not too many people are looking. It is one of the most unregulated areas in the loan chain but possibly the most key part in this day in age. It is obvious that the Mortgage Insurance companies are in trouble (under capitalized) and it may be an area where some TARP money could actually be used for the customers benefit. MI companies are doing everything they can not to pay lenders for their losses…i.e. claiming fraud on everything.
Again, under the premise that they want to mitigate their losses the MI Companies have implemented even tighter loan guidelines than the GSE’s or lenders. For instance, FNMA has a 97% LTV loan, but you can’t get it in San Diego because you can’t get mortgage insurance…so effectively, there is no 97% loan. These tighter guidelines, although meant to keep the MI companies from incurring more losses on the new loans that they do….are actually having the effect of driving down values due to lack of available financing, which inevitably increase their losses. The bottom line is that these companies are short funds after years of being cash cows…and they should be the ones applying for TARP funds with the goal of passing on lower rates and more loan products to the consumers.

5) Make Refinance Options Available to Upside Borrowers - A person that is Upside-Down and that is current on his mortgage has a mortgage that is a Performing Asset. One of the keys to Market stability is how we treat people that are upside down in their homes. The market will not stabilize until these people have more options. There are several programs that I won’t go into here that can be wins for the consumers, banks, wall street firms, local communities, and all forms of government. The key is to understand that people that are in their homes and are making their payments should have options open to them based on their record of payments, not necessarily the equity in the property. They are good risks and if programs are designed right everyone could benefit. I have several suggestions if you would like to hear them.

6) Lenders Loss Mitigation Systems still need work - I personally have been working on a short sale that has been at Countrywide since August waiting to get approved. For modifications, the FDIC’s loan modification plan is a good start however even that plan has in it a built in estimate that at least 33% of those modifications will re-default….so with a figure that high…why do it. Modifications should be done for the long term only 30, 40, 50 years and incorporate principle reductions as well as lower rates.

So I ask, when do the consumer and taxpayer get a break? The tax payers bailout FNMA. They bailout Wall Street and the major banks that developed most of the problem loan programs that are leaving most Americans that took loans out within the past 5 years upside down. Considering that the overwhelming majority of Americans are still making their payments, the only thing that they have to show for it besides being upside down is a tightening of loan standards instigated at the WRONG time by the Federal Reserve, advocated for by Congress with prodding from Consumer “Advocacy” Groups such as the Center for Responsible Lending who are funded by Wall Street firms such as Paulson and Company who manage funds that profit from the demise of the American consumer and the continuing mortgage meltdown. These new guidelines are then implemented by the GSE’s. The rules put in place by the Federal Reserve basically made outlaws of about 50% of the people that took out Sup-prime, ALT-A and even prime loans in the previous years….people that already had loans, were already in their homes, were making payments on time but got stuck based upon the changing and outlawing of guidelines almost overnight of certain loans. No doubt something needed to be done as far as rules go for loans going forward, however, the new rules failed to take into consideration people that already had loans and the underwriting guidelines under which they obtained them. Changing the rules for those people was not only unfair but set the whole economy up for failure.

The bottom line is that the average American needs refinance options and access to lower rates in order for us to get out of this mess. As of right now, actions by the GSE’s have been counter-productive and actions by the Treasury seem to have been wasteful.

I have been on record as being against the original $700 Billion Dollar bailout which set up the TARP because I feared exactly what has happened. I mean the lack of transparency and tax payer dollars going to bailout banks and Wall Street firms instead of being directed to areas that would help the average citizen. I think a lot of the issues we have now can be solved without TARP money or stimulus money. Banks and Wall Street need to realize that they played the major part in getting us into this mess and they should be willing to step up to the plate to accept principle reductions and other foreclosure prevention remedies. TARP was created to basically calm the fears of the global financial system….which means it was created to payoff foreign and other investors to help to shield them from losses. Have the things gotten better after TARP? Have fears subsided? Answers to both questions are no. We do know somebody got paid, we just don’t know who.
TARP money or Stimulus Package funds, now that we are actually doing this, could be better used subsidizing principle reductions for long term loan modifications, developing new loan programs for upside borrowers, or capitalizing mortgage insurance companies enough for them to relax guidelines so that lending over 80% LTV could actually occur again.

Thank you all for your service to our country. I am very proud to be an American so much so that my wife and I named our small company The American Dream Real Estate Group. Being a proud American, however, the events of last week made me disgusted to the point that I felt you needed to know about it. Thank you for reading.


Yours Truly,

David J. McDonald
1333 Camino Del Rio South #300
San Diego, CA 92108
President, The American Dream Real Estate Group,
President, California Association of Mortgage Brokers, San Diego
619-977-1193